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Them weather people? |
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Dave in PA
Orange Level Joined: 13 Sep 2009 Location: Mars/Wexford PA Points: 2625 |
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Posted: 22 Mar 2018 at 4:28pm |
You know, them ones on TV, that do the forecast. I was wondering a few things here??? How much do they make a year, how many times are they correct, AND how long would we be employed, IF, we screwed up as much as they do?? BUT, they always have a excuse for this went this way, and this changed here, and etc. But ya never hear them say, "I screwed up"!!
And NO, I am not pointing the finger at Shameless, I know he does his thing with the machine, and loves every minute of it!!!! Just wish it would run out of fuel! lol This is sorta a thought from the pot, but I am on the computer!
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thendrix
Orange Level Joined: 04 Feb 2013 Location: Fairmount GA Points: 4834 |
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Answers: a lot, never, less than 24 hours. In March of 1993 our local news forecaster predicted snow with no accumulation. By the end of the next day we had somewhere between 10 and 14 inches of snow depending on where you live. That was the first time I heard it thunder while snowing. Since then he's been known as Ken "no accumulation" Cook. I think he recently retired..... from the same station.
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"Farming is a business that makes a Las Vegas craps table look like a regular paycheck" Ronald Reagan
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LouSWPA
Orange Level Access Joined: 11 Sep 2009 Location: Clinton, Pa Points: 24207 |
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well, to be fair, predicting the weather is worse than reading a woman's mind!
Too many variables. all they can do is create models based on past experience and hope for the best |
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I am still confident of this;
I will see the goodness of the Lord in the land of the living. Wait for the Lord; be strong and take heart and wait for the Lord. Ps 27 |
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jaybmiller
Orange Level Access Joined: 12 Sep 2009 Location: Greensville,Ont Points: 22270 |
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up here at least $70K a year..must be nice to get paid to make mistakes and never punished for them.
They are pretty good at 3 day or less forecasts though, then again with all the super computers doing a zillon calculations, it don't take a 'weather scientist' to say what's on the teleprompter. Most are cute young chicks....hmmmmmmmm |
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3 D-14s,A-C forklift, B-112
Kubota BX23S lil' TOOT( The Other Orange Tractor) Never burn your bridges, unless you can walk on water |
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darrel in ND
Orange Level Joined: 22 Nov 2009 Location: Hebron, ND Points: 8623 |
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One thing the weather man never misses on around here is the wind. If he says the wind is going to blow, it damn sure is going to. Darrel
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john(MI)
Orange Level Joined: 12 Sep 2009 Location: SE MI Points: 9263 |
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For the most part, especially for severe weather, the TV folks get their info from the National Weather Service(NWS). And Lou is correct, they have computer generated models that they try to figure which is the most likely choice. I'm not sure about now, but they were using the European models because the U.S. doesn't have a computer capable of creating very accurate models. When I left they were talking about putting a new system together for models.
If you want an idea of what they are looking at, watch a hurricane forecast and the threads of possible paths it could take. All weather has the same characteristics. For the best weather forecasts, watch the Weather Channel or any of your networks, except Fox. Fox uses Accu Weather and they are the worst forecasters. The local TV weather folks sometimes take it upon themselves to outguess the NWS, That is usually the ones that make the big mistakes. For current weather systems, I watch the radar on my phone and I can track where the weather is going. It's centered on my location and I cycle it on past displays. That will show a track the weather is taking, to give you an idea of what you need to know right now. Especially helpful for watching thunderstorms for possible tornadoes. I also watch the radar when rain and snow systems move thru the area so I know when it's going to end and which way it's going. Since I started using my phone I haven't watched the Weather Underground, wunderground.com I believe. They were also very accurate. Or you can go to weather.gov/xxx, where xxx is the NWS office serving your area. I hope that helps you out for getting better weather forecast accuracy. |
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D14, D17, 5020, 612H, CASE 446
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Hubert (Ga)engine7
Orange Level Joined: 12 Sep 2009 Location: Jackson Cnty,GA Points: 6241 |
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They are there as entertainers and to keep the ratings up. Like John says, they use NWS and computer models to forecast the weather. And,................ the cute chicks are more entertaining.
Tyler, Ken Cook did retire and from the same station.
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Just an old country boy saved by the grace of God.
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Ted J
Orange Level Joined: 05 Jul 2010 Location: La Crosse, WI Points: 18786 |
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All the old timers had things that determined the weather for them and they were correct about 98% of the time. I know one that's ALWAYS true....when you see horsetails (a certain cloud formation) it's gonna rain within 24 hours. |
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"Allis-Express"
19?? WC / 1941 C / 1952 CA / 1956 WD45 / 1957 WD45 / 1958 D-17 |
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Ted J
Orange Level Joined: 05 Jul 2010 Location: La Crosse, WI Points: 18786 |
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Speakin of 'cute' weather persons.......we had us a real knockout
here!! Both of her,,,,,,er um,,,,,cumulus clouds let's say ,,,,,,,,WOW! Honest to goodness DJ, them was nail bitin times....
Then she had a baby and after that, her German heritage took over....I
don't watch the weather anymore...
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"Allis-Express"
19?? WC / 1941 C / 1952 CA / 1956 WD45 / 1957 WD45 / 1958 D-17 |
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darrel in ND
Orange Level Joined: 22 Nov 2009 Location: Hebron, ND Points: 8623 |
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Well of course it doesn't ever stop blowing, Ted. That's how they can predict it so easily. Darrel
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Darrell G (MN)
Orange Level Joined: 11 Sep 2009 Location: Green Isle MN Points: 1496 |
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Darrel you could maybe close the door and keep all that wind in ND we have had an awful lot of wind this winter and spring.
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darrel in ND
Orange Level Joined: 22 Nov 2009 Location: Hebron, ND Points: 8623 |
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Well there, other brother Darrell. The wind is coming straight out of your direction, so me thinks yous the one who needs to close the door. Darrel
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chaskaduo
Orange Level Joined: 26 Nov 2016 Location: Twin Cities Points: 5203 |
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Darrel in ND the wind here is usually blowing from the northwest. North Dakota is northwest of Darrel G (MN). So shut the dang door please.
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1938 B, 79 Dynamark 11/36 6spd, 95 Weed-Eater 16hp, 2010 Bolens 14hp
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john(MI)
Orange Level Joined: 12 Sep 2009 Location: SE MI Points: 9263 |
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Being here in SE MI and the wind coming out of the north we always figured it was because OH Sux!
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D14, D17, 5020, 612H, CASE 446
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steve(ill)
Orange Level Access Joined: 11 Sep 2009 Location: illinois Points: 80239 |
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when I was in school the kid next door was studying "weather' or what ever they called his degree.... I remember him saying one of the professors drilled into them.... "Read the chart, read the graphs, listen to others.. but BEFORE you go on the AIR... LOOK OUT THE WINDOW" !!
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Like them all, but love the "B"s.
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allis g
Orange Level Joined: 10 Jan 2012 Location: Templeton Points: 402 |
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Best weatherman around here is the meteorologist at the nuke plant over on the coast. he's more accurate than the people on the news. You can sign up to get a daily email for him.
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