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Corn Supplies/Cereal Prices

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Chris/CT View Drop Down
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    Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 8:12am
They just were talking about the lowest corn supply in 15 years? Guess Ethanol demand causes more ethanol corn production [easier] and less food grade corn. I don't know what yourr paying for a box of cereal in your area, but almost $5 for a medium box around here, crazy price in my opinion. Are you corn growers going to grow more food grade corn to help supply this year?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote DMiller Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 8:18am
It's going to worsen, as the morning paper made note of ethanol only corn/grain stocks to be grown in fields this season.
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John (C-IL) View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote John (C-IL) Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 8:20am
Remember that 50% of our grain production goes to livestock. Maybe we should all become vegans! NOT!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote AaronSEIA Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 8:25am
Before this turns into a bash ethanol and the corn grower thing, take a look at this document and ask yourself one question...who is really making the money off of groceries.
AaronSEIA
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote BobHnwO Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 8:28am
I buy most groceries at Aldi,their price for cereal is about 1/2 cost of name brand cereal,taste the same,most of the cost of name brand products is advertising,plus just because it is name brand!!
Why do today what you can put off til tomorrow.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Mike Kroupa Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 8:28am
Everyone notice how last time, 08 ,when corn hit alltime highs how the prices went up and the packaging got smaller, when commodity prices dropped that fall grocery prices stayed the same. The United States still has and always will have the cheapest and most abundant food supply in the world. We plan planting our normal 50/50 corn/ sb rotation with 160 acres second year corn., Mike
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote E7018 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 8:35am
Yea, but. How many boxes of corn flakes or loaves of bread does a family buy in a month compred to gallons of gas?
The ethanol plant only takes about a third of the food value out of corn for the beef animal. With all the land that is only good for pasture, the ethanol industry and the beef industry is a good fit. It sure makes some good tasting prime rib. Sure better than eating a pan of boiled corn.
 
I farmed in the early 80's and there was no market for corn at all. We would come up to a harvest and the bins were still full of last year's crop. Now, when there is a use for the stuff, people say "you can't do that".
 
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote DMiller Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 8:41am
I'm not bashing ethanol, even as I should but it is raising the value of corn with other grains making the farm a little better for feeding our own families.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dave in il Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 8:41am
What makes you think the price of comodities has anything to do with the cost of a box of cereal? There's well under a dollars worth of grain in a $5 box of cereal at today's comodities prices.
 
Corn is corn, it doesn't make any difference if it's for ethanol or livestock feed. Food grade corn is a different market and the majority is produce by contract with the end user. The same with seed.
 
As far as ethanol, yes it supports the price of corn but not as much as demand from China and the rest of the world at this time. Not that I'm ethanols biggest fan of, but about 80% of a bushel of corn is available for livestock feed AFTER it has been use to make ethanol as dried distillers grains (DDGs).
 
Still it's tough on the livestock industry with these prices.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote 427435 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 9:00am
Originally posted by AaronSEIA AaronSEIA wrote:

Before this turns into a bash ethanol and the corn grower thing, take a look at this document and ask yourself one question...who is really making the money off of groceries.
AaronSEIA



Could you provide the link to the above graphic, please.  I want to be able to post it on another forum as soon as someone bashes farmers or ethanol.
Mark

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Rogers Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 9:10am
I will bash ethanol unashamedly. It is absolutely one of the stupidest things I have ever seen to take a staple food source and use it to make fuel. Stupid is the only way it can be seen logically, so I bash away at it honesty and truthfully. I don't think there is any chance of it being said that I danced around the issue.
Think for yourself and be your own expert. Be willing to change your mind; however, willingness to change your mind doesn’t mean that you will. Blindly following any path is the pinnacle of insanity.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Pat the Plumber CIL Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 9:15am
Not a big fan of ethanol for what it does when it sits in a engine or gas tank for a while.With oil consumption going up in China and India ethanol is our only way to try and reduce that.Corn is probably easiest to convert to ethanol mainly because we grow so much.My hope is that we can start using other sources to make it out of.Brazil and Argentina make a tremendous amount of ethanol out of sugar beets.Switchgrass has shown some promise. Lets use corn for now with the hope we can convert to another source in the future.Have read alot of research is going into producing ethanol from seaweed? in the sea.
The long and short of it is we need to come up with another energy source that we can produce here.Nothing would make me happier than if the Middle east never gets another cent from us.Nobody would give a rats ass about that area and we could stop going over there to "stabilize" things
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Edited by Pat the Plumber CIL - 12 Feb 2011 at 9:16am
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote oldironguy Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 9:50am
There is always the option of the US living within its energy means.  Why should we expect other nations to provide the energy we choose to use so extravagantly?  we still pay less and use more energy than most other nations.  Seems to me a little conservation and greater development of solar, hydro and wind are in order.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Steve M C/IL Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 10:21am
Ethanol is a loser.It has to be subsidised to get produced.
 
I reject the standard talk about how we got to find all sorts of alternative energy to get away from forien oil. The real answer is to develope our own oil and natural gas but the sheep have been taught to believe otherwise.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Jim Lindemood Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 10:43am
Pretty complicated situation we have worked ourselves into --- we are good at doing that to ourselves. There is no doubt that we need to get off of middle east oil. Also there is no doubt that we waste a lot of energy. But, it does bother me that we subsidize domestic ethanol production ($.45) a gallon -- if it is not viable on it's on, then we should be looking at other options. We due import some ethanol -- and tax it heavily. The water required to produce it could be a problem as well.  No easy answer to energy. Some is oil itself, but a good deal also has to do with refinery capacity - which has difficulty expanding due to our own Govt. regulations. Can't expand our own oil / gas production for the same reason. We have met the enemy and it is us.
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Jim Lindemood Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 10:44am
And add coal into this equation and it does not get any better.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Coke-in-MN Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 10:57am
Solar, Hydro, Wind, ALL LOOSER all need subsidy to be used and all Made in China well except for Hydro which is a blocked idea by the greenies as it prevents flow of rivers, floods land and distroys the planet and keeps fish from being free range fish.
Ethanol and Bio Diesel - B100 looser as also subsidized.
Switch Grass and other such , still in research stage.
Coal  Years and years of energy
Nuclear, OOPS cant talk about that
Yes the US is one of the largest users of energy in the world overall and per capita, but the US has one of the highest living standards, best highway and transportation systems and the easiest movement of it's citizens anywhere within the continent than any nation.
 we are asked to pay for what we use and the price may be high but the poverty level is low also in the US.  Not many people are trying t get into Bangladesh or Somalia because of their good living standards.
 Food or fuel ? seems the Brazilian alcohol business is from cane sugar because of it's climate but now that they have a expanding petroleum industry it is loosing a importance there . Yet the US will not allow import of cheaper Alcohol from foreign producers in order to shore up and subsidies US production.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote BLee Mn Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 11:35am
AND "OIL" ISNT SUBSIDIZED???  COME ON THINK ABOUT IT!!!!!!    what are you going to use for fuel when world supply of oil is depleted. Tree Huggers and Ethanol Bashers will Be SOL
Cowboy UP
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote JohnCO Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 12:19pm
You know guys this should really be on the buildings, varmints, trucks etc. page or perhaps politics.  For the graph of costs, go to NFU.org. and then click on the "Farmers Share" link. BTW, all energy is subsidized in one way or another.  Oil has been at the government teet for a long time, as has coal and nuclear is at a whole higher level when it comes to gov. subsidies.  
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Rogers Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 1:21pm

Can you eat ethanol since corn won't be available for food consumption at anything near a reasonable price when oil runs out? Ethanol from corn virtually has to be an alternative whose existence is mostly due to those who want to line their pockets at the publics expense. Ethanol from corn is a very poor alternative energy source. I used stupid to describe it earlier because I truly believe that is the best description there is.

Yes, we need to look for other energy sources, but they don't need to be derived from our food supply.
 
I agree this topic is better suited for the political page. The political forum is better suited to topics that cause thermal expansion and global warming from the expulsion of unsavory gasses. LOL...
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote CTuckerNWIL Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 1:31pm
Originally posted by Rogers Rogers wrote:

I will bash ethanol unashamedly. It is absolutely one of the stupidest things I have ever seen to take a staple food source and use it to make fuel. Stupid is the only way it can be seen logically, so I bash away at it honesty and truthfully. I don't think there is any chance of it being said that I danced around the issue.


Evidently you have no concept of how this works. If you feed corn to raise meat you have meat to eat. If you use corn for ethanol, you have a clean burning product and 90% of the original food value left over to raise meat. We are not taking a "staple food source and use it to make fuel".
 
 Pat, I don't think it would matter much if we went switch grass or any other renewable source for ethanol. If switch grass was needed to make ethanol, and farmers started growing it, we would loose corn production wouldn't we. Now can we take the left overs from switch grass ethanol and feed it to our cattle to grow meat? Probably not the best answer.
 If government controls over nuclear power and coal power were reasonable, we could stop importing oil and let the Arabs worry about how to convert their oil to food.
 There is no doubt, we waste energy, my SIL will stand with the fridg door open for 10 minutes at a time and never get anything out, but choking the energy production industry will never reduce our consumption unless we stop printing new money to buy oil with.


Edited by CTuckerNWIL - 12 Feb 2011 at 1:33pm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote JohnCO Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 1:49pm
There is a cane sugar plant on Kauai, Hawaii that is now making ethanol, most of which is used on the islands.  The sugar market in Hawaii isn't real good as labor is high, mostly because of the cost of living there, and shipping is expensive to the mainland.  All the remaining sugar plants in Hawaii burn the waste material to make heat for the sugar process and electricity which is tied to the grid. 
The bottom line for all energy is that it is going to get more expensive, subsidies or not, the cost for hydro, wind and solar should go up less then extracted forms, such as coal and oil.  Even the nuclear proponents admit that nuke power will never be affordable without government support.  Also, as with coal, nukes use a tremendous amount of water for cooling.  In the west, water is subsidized by the government, local, state and fed. Solar and wind doesn't need much water.  The cheapest way is through conservation.


Edited by JohnCO - 12 Feb 2011 at 1:51pm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Rogers Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 2:34pm

I have a very clear understanding of how things work.

Ethanol has an energy per unit volume of approximately 34% less than gasoline. If you decided to build an engine that ran solely on ethanol you would end up with an engine that consumed more fuel to give equal power output. After all was said and done an ethanol engine would be 20 to 30% less fuel efficient than a gasoline engine. (For a quick reference look at wikipedia, but if you look you will find similar information in other places.)
 
Aside from the reduced efficiency of ethanol is the fact that an internal combustion engine is very inefficient. As I have said before, we need to look for alternative energy sources, but we can't jump at every one as if it is the answer. There needs to be solid proof. That does not exist for ethanol. When you look at the shortfalls of ethanol and take into account a growing world population the concept of using a food source to produce alternative energy is very poorly thought out. Corn is a food source by the way.
 
 
 


Edited by Rogers - 12 Feb 2011 at 2:35pm
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But that ethanol special engine could make better use of the fuel by running a higher compression ratio to get more efficiency than it can ever get with gasoline.

As for less than a buck of grain in a box of cereal, think again. At $6 a bushel (which I didn't get for my 2010 crop because I sold it all LAST YEAR) and 56 pounds to the bushel a pound of corn costs 10.7 cents and its a sure bet the cereal companies locked up futures contracts at $4.75 a bushel or better last year. In the large size 16 ounce cereal package there could be more like 8 cents worth of corn. Yet it retails for $4 or more. We farmers aren't getting rich from retail cereals, but we are doing better than break even or loosing at these prices. But there's another factor, land rents, fertilizer costs, seed costs, FUEL costs, and herbicide costs have all risen right along with the market price to keep the return poorer in farming which can take a couple million buck investment in land and equipment than stocks and bonds or CDs at the bank. A 3% return on a couple million investment isn't good but its better than a net loss that has been the norm.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Rogers Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 4:19pm
The higher compression is why the fuel efficiency difference would be 20 to 30% instead of 34%. Ethanol is a bad choice as an alternative to gas. Short of padding someones pockets I don't believe there is a reason for ethanol. The only way it even makes it into fuel is because of government subsidies. Economically it can't even stand on its own.
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Last week corn over $7.00 soybeans over $14.00  do you think the government will admit we may have a little inflation now? 
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Its been sweet for us guys producing corn . Yes it is heavily subsidized .. And our young men and women arent diyng  to protect it either..So the debate goes on and on .. Really nobodys right and nobodys wrong on this one .. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote michaelwis Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 4:33pm
Originally posted by Gordy Gordy wrote:

Last week corn over $7.00 soybeans over $14.00  do you think the government will admit we may have a little inflation now? 
And these prices are a good thing .. right ?   I,M hopein for 8 and 16 ..here soon  
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Gerald J. Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 4:36pm
Those are CBOT prices. not cash prices in the country and without a crystal ball to show the harvest prices were not the best ever (which they nearly were) few farmer have corn to sell. Those CBOT prices have been driven up by the same speculators that drive up crude oil and gasoline prices. Some say half the money in the CBOT grain trade is funds, not growers and users of grain. When the price of the grain in a box of cereal or loaf of bread is only a couple percent of the retail price of that product its hardly the cost of the grain that has caused the retail price to soar. It must be profit taking at retail or manufacturing or their costs like fuel and transportation.

Push corn prices back to $2 like they were 3 or 4 years ago, and then look out hunger because lots of farmers will go broke at today's input costs for fuel, seed, fertilizer, and herbicides.

Gerald J.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote steve(ill) Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Feb 2011 at 4:43pm
wind, solar, and ethanol dont stand on their own. Way to expensive... tell me how we subsidise coal and nuke ???  AS far as i know the govt passes endless stupid rules trying to condemn both. If they would keep their regulatory nose out of it, the cost of power would only increase with the cost of living and be very reasonable.  The EPA among others, is killing us.
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